The Bad, The Ugly, and The Unders: 3 NBA Eastern Conference Under Win Totals

NBA Training Camp is in full swing and so are my NBA win total futures. If you missed my first piece, check out the three Eastern Conference Over Win Totals I am taking this season which I released in mid-September following the Donovan Mitchell trade. Now I will be looking at the Eastern Conference squads I do not have a lot of confidence in going into the season, and why there is value in taking their win total to go under. Betting the under is never as exciting as betting the over, but making some money at the end of the NBA season is very exciting to me! Let's get into it.

Photo by Jacob Kupferman/Getty Images


Charlotte Hornets: Under 36.5 Wins (-115) - 2 Units

Let me get this out of the way from the jump. As someone who lives in Charlotte and loves going to 10 to 15 Hornets games a year, it pains me to do this. Gordon Hayward is my favorite basketball player and one of the reasons I fell in love with this amazing sport thanks to his time at Butler and LaMelo Ball is quickly becoming a favorite of mine too.


Now that that is out of the way, the Hornets have a massive, massive, Miles Bridges problem. Miles is increasingly likely to not return to this season or the NBA ever again after the charges he is facing from over the summer. Charlotte ended up sitting still during free agency and honestly did not have a lot of other options because of the uncertainty with Miles's future. Drafting Mark Williams out of Duke should slowly but surely help the problem at center that Mason Plumlee, and before that Cody Zeller, have presented defensively in the past, but that brings me to my next point.


Not only are the Hornets facing issues with their roster, but they also brought back head coach Steve Clifford which feels like a step backward. The intentions are clear with the hire - teach a young team that was one of the worst defensive teams in the league last season how to play defense. Will this adjustment be seen right away? Absolutely not.


I am not suggesting the Hornets should tank if things begin to go south by the halfway mark of this season, but the 2023 Draft is one of the deepest in recent history and it would not surprise me if Charlotte opted to go this route and maybe dump a guy or two for further draft capital. This could be a great season for the Hornets to develop second-year James Bouknight, rookie Mark Williams, and fourth-year Jalen McDaniels with Gordon Hayward historically struggling with weird injuries the last five years and Kelly Oubre not known for his defensive prowess which Clifford will be looking for. However, the big question is if Clifford will put his reputation of a rookie hater to the side and let the boys play and develop, or if he is going to force a mid-table finish with Hayward, Rozier, and Washington as LaMelo's best options to play alongside.


If you are in Charlotte you will see me and DaBaby (not together, unfortunately) at plenty of games whether it's versus the big-name opponent or on a weeknight when the beer is more expensive than the tickets. However, I do not expect the end product to look great this year, which will bring Charlotte's win total under 36.5.

S/O to Matt Kryger for the photo.


Indiana Pacers: Under 24.5 (-120) - 1 Unit

Here I am slamming the team of the city I live in and love to watch, the Charlotte Hornets, and my childhood team, the Indiana Pacers, as a proud Hoosier (go Dawgs though). The Pacers play here is a very simple one though. Indiana is in absolutely no shape to even put out a competitive lineup against the stacked Eastern Conference. It is an exciting era to see over the next 3 to 5 years with Tyrese Haliburton at the helm, but what else does Indy have?


I am high on Bennedict Mathurin and think that he could become a dependable scorer for the Pacers over the coming years. I think that Buddy Hield and Myles Turner will find their way out of Indy over the course of the season though, and even then Hield is not somebody you trust your offense with and there's a reason nobody has traded for Turner while he's been on the block for over three years. They're both a lot of fun in category leagues with Hield being purely dependable for 3 Pointers Made and Turner being a workhorse for blocks, but this is real life.


The Pacers have the lowest win total in the East, and the fourth lowest in the NBA behind the Rockets, Thunder, and Spurs. Indiana only won 25 games last season, and have a lot of transitions going on in the organization that makes me think they're OK with losing and tanking with the 2023 Draft ahead. The future has the potential to be fun in Indy, but that is not now. Give me the under here!

S/O to the Associated Press for the photo.


Washington Wizards: Alternate Total: Under 31.5 (+250) - 0.8 Units

The Wizards had one of the hottest starts in the NBA last season alongside the Bulls which surprised a lot of people. Then November passed, and the Wizards went back to the Wizards we expected them to be. It was a weird season in Washington with Beal having an injury-riddled season and the team acquiring Kristaps Porzingis from Dallas. The Wizards added Monte Morris and Will Barton as well to help supplement their "Big 3" of Beal, Kristaps, and fashion icon Kyle Kuzma, but is that really very impressive?


Washington ended last season with 35 wins, and their normal win total this season sits at 35.5, the fourth lowest in the East. The Wizards were not close to making the top 10 teams in the East putting them in the playoff picture, and improvements from teams like the Knicks, Magic, and Pistons makes me worry that Washington will be left behind. Bradley Beal has made it clear he is totally content with cashing in his big checks and may finally try to leave Washington now that his contract situation is sorted.


The theories of what may happen have nothing to do with what things look like now in Washington. Yes, they have eclipsed this short 31.5 number 4 of the last 5 seasons. But the Eastern Conference has never looked better than it has now in the last five years, making me think somebody has to get left behind. One of those teams will be the Wizards, and we may as well grab some value on an adjusted total when they regress even farther south from where they finished last season.

 

I know that the NFL has just gotten started, but let me know what you all think of these NBA win totals by tweeting @AndyHHSports on Twitter, or leaving a comment below! I will be putting out more and more basketball content over the coming weeks as we are only a couple of weeks away from the first tip. We also will have plenty of NFL and College Football reactions, best bets, and more headed your way as the season moves along, including DJ's new podcast "Sharpen the Public" linked below! Finally, don't miss out on any of our UFC, baseball, or soccer to keep you entertained during the week! We appreciate your support, and thanks for reading.


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