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Rick’s UFC Picks Kattar vs Emmett

What a pay per view we had last week! While a 2nd round spinning back fist by Zhang Weili got me out of my seat screaming, it also brought me my first losing card in the UFC. They happen and it’s the nature of the sport, so I’m not overreacting. That wasn’t the only fight that delivered, as Jiri Prochazka submitted Glover Teixeira with less than a minute left in a fight for the ages. This card might not have the name recognition as the one last week, but we have some amazing stylistic matchups and quality up-and-coming fighters on this card. There might be a few that I’m not opposed to seeing retire at this point in their career, but I’m excited for one last ride. Lets get into it!

Roman Dolidze vs. Kyle Daukaus (-250)

Two exceptional grapplers in very different fashions, Roman Dolidze goes for them early and often, emptying the gas tank early to go for untraditional takedowns like heel hooks. He’s a former FILA world grappling champion and uses that pedigree in his fights for as long as his small gas tank allows. There’s a chance he’s met his match though, as Daukaus is exceptional on the mat and will be there for all 15 minutes of the fight. He’s got the advantage on the feet and if he can get top position and avoid dangerous spots, should be able to take this fight late.

Pick: Dolidze in R1/2 +500 (.25u) & Daukaus in R3 or Decision +110 (1u)

PARLAY: Phil Hawes vs. Deron Winn (+220) & Kevin Holland vs. Tim Means (+240)

  • Hawes & Holland -120 (2u)

Eddie Wineland vs. Cody Stamann (-580) || Pick: Wineland by Decision +800 (.25u)

PARLAY: Maria Oliveira vs. Glorida De Paula (-252) & Joaquin Buckley vs. Albert Duraev (-227)

  • De Paula & Duraev EVEN (1u)

PARLAY: Ricardo Ramos vs. Danny Chavez (+235) vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Natalia Silva (+200)

  • Ramos & Jasudavicius -120 (.5u)

Court McGee vs. Jeremiah Wells (-105) || Pick: McGee -120 (1u)

Adrian Yanez vs. Tony Kelley (+235) || Pick: Yanez by R3 or Dec +120 (.5u)

Julian Marquez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (-170) || Pick: Rodrigues by KO or Dec -115 (1u)

Damir Ismagulov vs. Guram Kutateladze (+150)

This is the fight of the evening that everyone should have eyes on. Forget the main event, forget Cowboy’s last fight, forget Kevin Holland. This is the fight that has quality and fireworks written all over it. Two fighters with immense power on the feet, grappling prowess and a gas tank to go 3 full rounds, we should have a beauty on our hands. Ismagulov finally looked human in his last fight, going into deep waters but showing the resolve to come back and win the fight definitively. Guram hasn’t fought in over a year but has been training with top tier UFC athletes in the mean time so I’m not overly concerned. He’s got the power advantage in this fight and while he might get taken down by Ismagulov, his defensive submission threats tend to help him get back up to his feet. The winner of this fight should get a top 15 ranking and be on the fast track to the top of the division, so I’m jacked to see who comes out on top. I think this fight is much more of a pick’em, and due to the advantages on the feet I’m going with the big underdog in Kutateladze.

Pick: Kutateladze +150 (1u)

Donald Cerrone vs. Joe Lauzon (+140) || Pick: Lauzon +140 (1u)

Calvin Kattar vs. Josh Emmett (+195)

Calvin Kattar’s last two fights could not have been more different. In January of 2021 he took a record number of significant strikes against Max Holloway in one of the most one-sided losses I’ve ever witnessed, then came back and did almost the same thing to Giga Chikadze almost exactly a year later. He’s back on the rise against the man with bricks in his hands Josh Emmett. We know that Kattar can box for five rounds, but tends not to have the knockout power behind them. Josh Emmitt’s endurance for 5-rounds will be tested, but we do know he has next-level power in his hands. He’s recorded a knockdown in every fight he’s had in the last five years. Every single one. I think damage accumulated will take a toll on Kattar and Emmett will rock him and finish him at some point in this fight.

Pick: Emmett +195 (1u) & Emmett ITD +400 (.25u)

Josh Hedges / Zulla LLC

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