Rick's MLB Plays 9/10

Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees (1:05 ET)

Favorite: Yankees -115

Total: 7.5

Pitchers: Corey Kluber (4.00 ERA, 1.12 WHIP) vs. Jameson Taillon (3.95 ERA, 1.14 WHIP)

If there's one team that doesn't want to see Corey Kluber, its the Yankees. His 7 inning 2 hit performance last week was no fluke, he's been their daddy all year. Posting a 1.08 ERA over 25 innings against the Yankees this season allowing only 13 hits in the process, Kluber knows just how to get to these batters. He's world-class in two categories as well: chase rate and walk percentage. He doesn't give up free batters and he gets a strikeout-heavy team in the Yankees to chase frequently. It doesn't help that New York's offensive struggles have continued, as they're 27th in OPS over the last two weeks.

On the opposite side, the Yankees are blessed to have Jameson Taillon. A staple of consistency all year, he's somehow largely avoid the Rays. In his only appearance he shut them out over 8 innings, allowing only 2 hits. Now, that team was a completely different offensive team than this Rays team that is finally healthy and just got Wander Franco in the lineup, so we'll see how he holds up this time. I don't expect Taillon to struggle, but I do expect Kluber to outpitch him and the Rays offense to be more potent. For those reasons and that the Rays have the healthier and better bullpen, I'll take the dog.

Pick: Rays ML -105 (1.5u)

Julio Aguilar - Getty Images

Cleveland Guardians @ Minnesota Twins (7:15 ET)

Favorite: Guardians -120

Total: 7.5

Pitchers: Triston McKenzie (3.18 ERA, 0.97 WHIP) vs. Chris Archer (4.47 ERA, 1.31 WHIP)

I had been a fan of Chris Archer... up until the month of August. He's been a fade machine lately and that's right where I'm headed today. Going a maximum of 5 innings and allowing 2+ runs in 6 of his last 7, he's good to get smacked around and if Cleveland got their bats back like they might have on Friday, he could be in for a rough go. Triston McKenzie has allowed at least 2 runs in each of his last 5 starts as well, but the difference is that he averages around 6 innings per outing and allowed 2.2 runs per start in that time. Friday didn't provide the playoff atmosphere or competition after Dylan Bundy turned back the clock to his dismal form, but we should get that on Saturday. I'll trust the much better pitcher to get it done on the road in Minneapolis.

Pick: Guardians ML -120 (1u)

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