• Rick

Rick’s MLB Plays 6/27

Oakland A’s @ New York Yankees (7:10 ET)

Favorite: Yankees -300

Total: 8.5

Pitchers: Paul Blackburn (2.97 ERA, 1.18 WHIP) vs. Jordan Montgomery (2.97 ERA, 1.02 WHIP)

Two pitchers with nearly identical pitching stats meet up in the Big Apple, playing for teams on polar opposite ends of the standings. The A’s are America’s worst team by record and offense, and the Yankees are far and away the best with phenomenal pitching and slugging. While Blackburn’s ERA looks phenomenal - and he has been for much of the year - he’s struggled recently allowing 4+ runs in 3 of his last 5 outings. The A’s offense, especially against lefties is atrocious, and expect the Yankees to score 4 or more runs today. I doubt the A’s score 3 to get this game even close to competitive.

Pick: Yankees -1.5 -150 (1u)

Charles Wenzelberg - NY Post

Miami Marlins @ St Louis Cardinals (7:45 ET)

Favorite: Cardinals -130

Total: 7.5

Pitchers: Pablo Lopez (2.61 ERA, 1.06 WHIP) vs. Adam Wainwright (3.32 ERA, 1.26 WHIP)

Two top level pitchers who have struggled in June come to turn their individual performances around as well as their teams. Neither team has a winning record in their last 10 games so although they’ve both been above average offensively in June, they are looking to gain steam and solidify a spot in the NL Wild Card. The Cardinals are missing Tyler O’Neill (Hamstring) and veteran catcher Yadier Molina (Knee) due to short-term injuries, but still have the offensive firepower behind Arenado, Edman, and current MVP leader Paul Goldschmidt to do damage to any opposing pitcher. As aforementioned, Wainwright has struggled in June, allowing a 4.68 ERA and 1.44 WHIP, but has been much better at home throughout the season with just a 2.68 ERA.

Miami’s offense is predicated off of their speed on the basepaths, led by Berti and Chisholm in the 1 and 2 spots respectively. They aren’t the best batting lineup, but when they get guys on base they tend to bring them home due to expert basrunning and elite speed. They’ll need it today if Lopez continues his trend of poor pitching in June. He bounced back last outing posting 7 shutout innings against the Rockies, but allowed 12 runs In his 3 games prior to that. Given how much worse the Marlins bats are on the road (22nd in OPS compared to 6th at home), I’ll give the edge to the home team with veteran Wainwright to get back on track.

Pick: Cardinals ML -130 (1u)

Dilip Vishwanat - Getty Images

Texas Rangers @ Kansas City Royals (8:10 ET)

Favorite: Rangers -140

Total: 8.5

Pitchers: Martin Perez (1.96 ERA, 1.13 WHIP) vs. Kris Bubic (7.41 ERA, 1.79 WHIP)

Don’t look now, but the Martin Perez we all expected to show up in Texas is starting to show. He’s been brilliant this year in getting out of jams and not allowing the long ball, but he’s starting to get hit often and with solid contact. His xwOBA rolling chart looks just how you’d want your 401k to look — and that’s not good for him. He’s got a 1.67 WHIP in June and is facing a Royals team that has won 6 of their last 10. Luckily, he’s up against Kris Bubic who is simply put, not very good at all. While he’s not quite as bad as his ERA and WHIP show, he’s still struggled. He’s allowed 9 ER in his last 15.2 IP, giving up a 1.50 WHIP against poor opposition in the process. Both offenses are below average, but expect the pitching to give up baserunners that will turn into runs.

Pick: o8.5 -120 (1u)

Charles Riedel - AP

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