NBA Best Bets Wednesday 11/9

The NBA returns Wednesday after taking the day off on Tuesday for Election Day. My Best Bets went 1-1 on Monday for a profit of +0.375 Units, and +0.75 Units over my last 6 cards. Profit is profit, and we look to make more of it here with a large NBA slate today. Not all of my plays are on here though, so make sure to tune in for more at @AndyHHSports on Twitter so you can follow along with the action and see additional bets as I put them out. With that, let's jump right into the action:


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Cade Cunningham over 31.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists (-115) - 1 Unit

Cade and the Pistons will be traveling to Boston on Wednesday night, presenting a great opportunity for the Celtics to keep things rolling after a solid 7-3 start to the season. However, this will also be an opportunity for Cunningham and the boys to test themselves against the reigning Eastern Conference champions, and I like Cade's chances at doing just that.


Cunningham came out to a "slow" start by his standards, but has been on fire the last several games. Cade has soared over this 31.5 number in five of his last seven outings, and it's been in large part due to filling up the stat sheet all around. Cade has been distributing the ball to his teammates well, along with being aggressive on the glass to help try to keep his team around in games.


The Celtics have not gotten off to the best start defensively this year like we knew them for during the second half of last season, ranking just outside of the bottom 25% in defensive efficiency and sitting in the bottom half of points allowed to opponents per game. Boston have struggled to rebound as well as they have in the past with Al Horford looking a bit rusty and Robert Williams out until the New Year. This could be a great opportunity for Cade to hit his over here as long as the shots continue to fall, which has not been a problem for him lately as he is averaging 23 points per game over the last seven games.


I'll be watching this one to see my Celtics but to also enjoy a star in the making in Cade Cunningham. I am looking forward to seeing the former #1 overall pick shine at the TD Garden.


H/T NBA.com for the photo.



Orlando Magic +7 (-110) vs Dallas Mavericks - 1 Unit

Orlando Magic ML (+220) - 0.5 Units

The 2-9 Magic will be hosting the 6-3 Mavericks Wednesday and I couldn't be more excited. I believe this is going to be a really great opportunity for Paolo Banchero, Franz Wagner, and Wendell Carter Jr. to feast on the interior against a Mavericks team without Christian Wood. I don't believe Wood is even that big of a loss for the Mavericks defensively, but let me make my case.


Dallas were known during their 2022 NBA Playoffs run for their perimeter defending and persistence on killing you with scoring the three ball. The perimeter defending is still there, but it does not matter as much against this Magic team as they may pose to be a nightmare inside for the Mavericks. Dallas rank in the bottom 5 of the league for percent of points given up from 2 pointers, conceding 55.2% of their opponent's scoring this way. Orlando on the other hand love to score inside and should continue to succeed at it with their young stars running the show. The Magic rank in the top 5 of the NBA in percent of points from 2 pointers with 55.3% of their scoring coming from inside the arc.


The Mavericks are second in the league in opponent percent of points from 3 pointers with a very strong 27.3%. However, this will not be a problem for Orlando as they have not really improved much in their three point shooting and don't need to rely much on the three ball for this game. The scoring has finally arrived with Paolo coming to town, and Wendell and Franz continue to grow and show flashes of greatness night in and night out. Orlando can address the threes later, as their game against Dallas should be a fun one with a classic mismatch inside.


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Houston Rockets / Toronto Raptors under 223.5 (-105) - 1 Unit

I have not had the best of luck betting on the Raptors at any angle this season, losing out on a total, a moneyline, and two props. But I am not giving up this early. The Raptors defense is still a unit that I am a huge fan of, and the numbers tell the story why. The Toronto Raptors rank in the top 5 of points allowed per game at 106.5, and in defensive efficiency at 1.056. This lengthy squad of solid defenders should have no problem with a Houston Rockets team of young guys still trying to find their identities.


Jalen Green had a huge game against the Magic on Monday, but was on a tough stretch by his standards. Kevin Porter Jr. has had an impressive season thus far after receiving his new contract, and Alperen Sengun seems to finally be taking on the form we expected from him and his 2021 draft profile. But then what? Jabari Smith Jr. has been dreadful and cannot seem to find his shot so far this season, and guys like Eric Gordon, Kenyon Martin, and JaeSean Tate really are not anything to write home about either.


Houston rank in the bottom third of points per game this season at 110.4, and bottom 20% of the league in offensive efficiency at 1.054. I like the Raptors to hold off these young prospects on the Rockets tonight, and I think Houston will find that their struggles continue in Canada. And hey, I am probably due to hit a Raptors bet, right?


Check back in for more NBA plays as the day goes along! Thanks for reading!

 

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