The first week of NBA action has treated us very well so far. I am siting at 17-12-0 with a profit of 6.02 units after 7 days. A lot of the plays have been here at Happy Hour Sports, but I have also tweeted out a number of them at @AndyHHSports on Twitter, especially on the weekends when I don't have as much time to write. Throw me a follow there so you never miss out!
The bulk of my wins this season have been thanks to the always volatile yet always exciting NBA Player Props betting markets. So far on props this season I have gone 14-7-0 with a profit of just over 7.5 units. I am glad I got that out of the way because now I am about to go over two plays I like for Wednesday that are not props (Whoops!). Let's jump right in:
Orlando Magic 1Q TT o26.5 (-110) - 1 Unit
The Magic have been one of the most fun teams to watch at the start of this season despite their 0-4 start. The #1 overall pick in the 2022 NBA Draft Paolo Banchero has shown why the Magic decided to select him over Jabari Smith and Chet Holmgren with dominant performances across the board. I highlighted Paolo's achievements the first couple of games in my Monday Best Bets piece, but it is abundantly clear he is one of the pieces the Magic have been missing after struggling to score last season.
I really like the Magic in this spot today against Cleveland. Road games are never that fun, but at least in Cleveland, we know the boys did not go out the night before or anything. Jokes aside, the Magic have soared over this number in the first quarter all four quarters this season, and the Cavs have allowed 27 or more points in the first quarter all but once. I ended up taking this team total Tuesday evening but the line has stayed consistent.
Cleveland is around the middle of the pack in points allowed in the first, allowing 28 a game so far this season. They will also be without All-Star point guard Darius Garland who has been out after an eye injury. The one risk I do see with this play is how much of the Magic's scoring comes from Paolo, Franz Wagner, and Wendell Carter Jr. who will be facing off against Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen inside. I respect Mobley and Allen's game on defense a lot, however, we really need just over a bucket a minute to hit this number which Orlando has had no trouble with to start this year. This game should be a lot of fun with tons of young talent being showcased on both sides!
H/T to the Atlanta Hawks for the photo.
Atlanta Hawks -7 @ Detroit Pistons (-110) - 1 Unit
I placed my wager on this Wednesday morning when I saw the line. The Hawks have surprised over the course of these first three games. Dejounte Murray is still scoring in flurries while racking up the assists and rebounds we know him for despite playing alongside Trae Young and John Collins. Speaking of Collins, the Wake Forest man has also had a great start to the year. The boys from ATL travel to Detroit today to face the Pistons not once, but twice this week.
The Pistons are on the opposite side of the spectrum so far. Jaden Ivey has been very impressive so far, and Cade has continued his form he closed out the 2021-2022 season with which is a great sign for Detroit. The back court looks good, and Bojan Bogdanovic has had no problem scoring on his new team averaging just over 20 points a game. The problem here is that we have got Saddiq Bey, Isaiah Stewart, and 18-year-old Jalen Duren... then who?
We have not yet seen Alec Burks or Nerlens Noel who the Pistons acquired from the Knicks, as well as Marvin Bagley, but with poor performances against the Knicks, Pacers, and Wizards, I just don't believe these are names you can get excited about when thinking about if they'd provide a boost to another level of playing for Detroit. The Hawks have also not really been tested yet, only playing the Rockets, Magic, and Hornets, but the Pistons will provide much of the same when it comes to challenges. Atlanta does not have a lot of depth just like Detroit, but the starters have been playing almost 5 to 6 minutes more a game compared to the rotations Dwane Casey is running for the Pistons.
The Atlanta starters will outmatch a Pistons team that is still looking to figure it out, and we could see Atlanta come out of here with a 4-1 record heading to Milwaukee on Saturday. That is a game I would look out for when the line releases as it will be Atlanta's first real test of the season against a deep Milwaukee team. But for now, give me the loaded front line of Atlanta against a team still struggling to find their identity in the Pistons.
Stay Tuned as I continue to add more to the card!
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