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NBA Best Bets Thursday 11/16

This week of NBA betting has continued to stay steady with a 4-4 record but a +0.73 Unit profit. That changes today. It is not very often that I have big 2-Unit plays, but today we have some special circumstances. If you haven't already, throw me a follow on Twitter @AndyHHSports for your NBA betting content every day and additional plays I may have after this article gets released. And with that out of the way, let's cut right to the chase. Here is my NBA card for Thursday, and it is pretty simple with one big play:


Oregonlive.com



Trailblazers Moneyline (-125) - 2 Units


Thursday night at 10:00 PM EST the Brooklyn Nets travel to Portland to take on Damian Lillard and the Portland Trailblazers. Guys, there is nothing tricky whatsoever about this one. Portland has the third-best record in the league right now at 10-4, and are the number-one team against the spread at 11-3. I normally do not like to use those two things as my first reason to bet on somebody as it is a rookie move, but we need to talk about the Brooklyn Nets.


The Nets are a dumpster fire. They were a dumpster fire before the Kyrie situation, and before the Celtics exposed them in the NBA Playoffs over the summer with a 4-0 clean sweep in the first round. Brooklyn are in the bottom half of the league in offensive efficiency, and bottom third in points per game. This team does not know what their identity is with Kevin Durant being the only constant on offense, and Ben Simmons and Kyrie Irving preferring to make more impact with the media than on the court.


I could rant on and on about the clown show, but Portland is the real reason we are here. Brooklyn is not an auto-fade, although I do believe the outside noise and lack of stability within the roster is to their detriment. The Blazers are worth backing based on how impressive they have been so far this season, and it does not feel like the bookmakers in Vegas have given them respect in setting the lines yet as they've had plenty of low spreads for how good they have looked.


Portland have kept games low scoring this season as they are not piling on the points, but are in the top third of the league in points per game allowed and defensive efficiency. Damian Lillard has come back with a vengeance looking like his old self again, and his supporting cast of Anfernee Simons and Jusuf Nurkic (likely out tomorrow, unfortunately) has been bolstered with newcomer Jerami Grant and surprising rookie standout Shaedon Sharpe. This team is disciplined and does not let opponents slip too far away from them in games which is excellent for a squad that can pile on quick scoring and take the game back in an instant.


Normally I do like to deep dive the stats a bit more, especially with a big boy play like this. But this one does not need to be overcomplicated. Kyrie Irving returns to the Nets on Sunday as Brooklyn shuts the door on their road trip with today's game in Portland, and we can re-evaluate how serious this team is then. But for now, let's back one of the hottest teams in the NBA going up against the most dysfunctional franchise in recent memory.


I will be traveling Friday through Sunday so I will not have a card on any of those days. However, I may tweet out some plays throughout the weekend. Make sure to follow me at @AndyHHSports on Twitter so you do not miss out on those!

 

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