Updated: Sep 12
Ja Morant of the Memphis Grizzlies in Orlando, August 3, 2020.David Sherman / Getty Images
The Play: Ja Morant u26.5 Pts -115 - 1.5 units
Ja Morant has gotten all of the praise for the success in Memphis this season, and that praise was voiced even louder after an exciting 6 game series victory against Minnesota. The praise is absolutely justified - but is the scoring output for the NBA's Most Improved Player as good as people think it is?
Morant is averaging just over 27 PPG this season but had a bit of trouble scoring the ball in the Minnesota series. Well... trouble by his standards. Morant only exceeded his season average in Game 1 (32) and Game 5 (30), with 18 fourth-quarter points to bring his FG% back to earth in Game 5. Filling up the stat sheet everywhere else, his box scores look insane from the Minnesota series.
Let's keep it more simple than that. We are not betting on a full stat sheet here. We are just looking at 26.5 points, and that is a lot of scoring for anyone in the league. The Warriors are much more serious when it comes to defending compared to the Wolves, and Tee Morant wasn't just showing his son tough love when he said Ja did not play that well. If Ja's lackluster scoring continues into this series, the Warriors will not be as forgiving as the Wolves.
Ja Morant is on his way to NBA Superstardom, but based on current form and a tough Warriors defense, I believe 26.5 is too much. I'll be taking Morant under 26.5 points to win 1.5 units.