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EPL Week 3 Picks

Another entertaining week in the Prem has passed with plenty to discuss from Brentford’s thrashing of Man United to the heated Conte-Tuchel battle at Stamford Bridge. This is why we keep coming back to the greatest league in the world. Let’s jump into some picks for this week, though!

Crystal Palace-Aston Villa 10:00am ET, Saturday

h/t (Steven Paston/PA)

The injury problems for Villa are the story here as they visit Selhurst Park on Saturday afternoon in London. The statement summer signing, Diego Carlos, is out with an ACL injury for 6 months and suddenly the backline is in a bit of flux. Tyrone Mings has been less than inspiring for quite a while now and the partnership with Ezri Konsa is questionable with no other options at the position left for Steven Gerrard. Key pieces Coutinho and Matty Cash are also injury concerns leading up to Saturday for Villa. For Palace, they’ve looked quite bright in both matches this season against top 6 clubs. They’ve been a bit unlucky in front of goal so far and Zaha hasn’t been at his best, either. With the imminent return of Michael Olise this week in the midfield and this one being at home, I’m tapping Palace to win but let’s play it safe with a Pk -120 to protect ourselves against a draw.

Leeds-Chelsea 9:00am ET, Sunday

h/t Premier League

Leeds and Chelsea both squabbled leads on the weekend and will be looking for 3 points to make up for that this Sunday at Elland Road. The common sentiment around Chelsea is that they don’t have proven goal scorers to truly compete for the title which is probably true but the Blues have still produced the 4th highest xG in the league so far this season. Leeds certainly won’t be looking to sit back and invite pressure from Chelsea, either but may be forced into playing on the counter to have some quality chances. The O/U sitting at 2.5 goals is a bit low for me and something like 2-1 or 3-1 Chelsea feels right. O2.5 goals is my play here.

West Ham-Brighton 9:00am ET, Sunday

h/t Getty Images

This one sets up to be one of the more entertaining matches of the weekend with West Ham coming in off a 2-0 defeat to newly promoted Nottingham Forest and Brighton, a draw with Newcastle. The Hammers certainly will feel hard done by the result last time out with the amount of chances created and will have to put up an even better performance to get something here against Brighton. West Ham also will have one eye on their Europa League match on Thursday night, which is certainly a disadvantage for them. On the other side, Brighton have come out firing to start the new campaign with a win vs Manchester United and the previously mentioned draw vs Newcastle. The Seagulls have the 5th highest xG early on in the Prem and you really have to marvel at the job Graham Potter does season in and season out as manager. Brighton is certainly kicking on and have had plenty of recent success against West Ham. For me, Brighton is one of the best bets of the weekend and I’ll be rolling with the Pk/+.5 (-115).

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