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College Basketball Best Bets 11/7

Christmas Day is here! College basketball returns with force tonight with every top 25 team in play. Let’s run through two games I’m eying:

f/t Chris O'Meara

Northern Arizona at Michigan State, 7pm ET

Sparty comes into this one with lots of questions everywhere on the floor when it comes to who will score. Luckily for them, Northern Arizona should not put up much resistance on the defensive end. They were nearly last in the nation among 350+ schools in defensive efficiency and return ¾ of the minutes that played. The Lumberjacks also lost two of their best defenders from last year. Tom Izzo is one that loves to step on the gas against smaller D1 schools in the past and should implement that again tonight. 143.5 is a bit lower than some projections and does not take into account some extenuating circumstances here. Over 143.5 points is the play in this one.

Howard at Kentucky, 7pm ET

John Calipari and the #4 ranked Wildcats come into the season with the expectations of the world on their shoulders. The return of the likes of All American Oscar Tshiebwe and Sahvir Wheeler were huge but unfortunately neither will probably be playing tonight. The difference in efficiency without Tshiebwe on the floor were stark last season. Howard is no pushover, either. The Bison are possibly the best team in the MEAC with plenty of talent and additions from the transfer portal. I’ll take a shot at them +26.5 as this will probably be a bit closer than Vegas is projecting.

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